17
OPEN MARKET OPERATIONS DURING 2021
The U.S. Treasury market is a
cornerstone for the operation of the
U.S. and global nancial systems and
for the transmission of monetary policy.
Recent years have witnessed several
episodes of abrupt deterioration in the
functioning of some segments of the
Treasury market. These occurrences
have prompted various industry and
ofcial-sector institutions to examine
Treasury market structure and propose
reforms to enhance market resiliency.
The Federal Reserve has a direct interest
in the functioning of the Treasury
market given its monetary policy
mandate and its role in monitoring and
mitigating risks to nancial stability.
Recent episodes of Treasury
market disruption include:
• the “ash rally” of 2014, when
the markets for Treasury securities,
futures, and related nancial
instruments experienced an
unusually high level of volatility;
• the Treasury repo market stress of
2019, when a spike in the cost of
overnight Treasury repo borrowing
and repo market volatility negatively
affected trading conditions in
segments of the Treasury cash and
futures markets that relied more
heavily on repo nancing; and
• most recently, the COVID-19
shock of late February and early
March 2020, when investors sold
large volumes of Treasury securities
to raise cash, overwhelming the
intermediation capacity in the Treasury
market and prompting a notable
deterioration in market functioning.
In the latter two of these instances,
the Federal Reserve intervened to
restore market liquidity. These market
disruptions—in concert with a sharp
increase in the amount of marketable
Treasury securities outstanding
since 2000, from about $3 trillion
to more than $22 trillion, as well as
substantial evolution in the structure of
the Treasury market—have prompted
ofcial and private-sector groups
to examine avenues to strengthen
the resilience of the Treasury market
and safeguard its ability to function
efciently in times of stress.
Reports published by the Inter-Agency
Working Group (IAWG), the Group
of Thirty Working Group on Treasury
Market Liquidity,
a
the Brookings
Institution,
b
and others have explored
the underlying causes of these market
disruptions. These reports have noted
vulnerabilities associated with abrupt
changes in demand for Treasury liquidity;
such vulnerabilities were heightened by
an increase in the amount of Treasury
securities outstanding alongside greater
balance sheet constraints on certain
broker-dealers that intermediate much of
the trading of Treasury securities. Some
reports also highlighted structural features
that contributed to these vulnerabilities,
including the procyclicality of margin
requirements, the diversity and costliness
of clearing and settlement mechanisms,
the lack of full transparency into prices
and trading venue practices, and the
growth of electronic trading and its
impact on the elasticity of liquidity supply.
Taken together, these factors were cited
as increasing the likelihood of imbalances
that may result in a deterioration in
market functioning. The reports also
cited limited real-time visibility into
trading ows and dealer/investor
positions as potentially hampering
responses from the ofcial sector.
The IAWG report indicated that it is
analyzing opportunities in ve key areas:
market intermediation, data quality and
availability, expanded central clearing,
trading venue transparency and oversight,
and leverage and liquidity risks.
Separately, private-sector reports
have suggested a range of possible
solutions to these problems, including:
1. creation of standing repo facilities
by the Federal Reserve;
2. broadening of central clearing
of Treasury securities;
3. changes to regulatory capital
requirements affecting
broker-dealers afliated with
bank holding companies; and
4. improving transparency of Treasury
market trading activity.
As proposed by these reports, a repo
facility would offer backstop nancing
Box 1
INTERAGENCY WORK ON TREASURY MARKET RESILIENCY
Overview
AppendixesOperational
Flexibility &
Resiliency
Selected
Balance Sheet
Developments
Counterparties Index of Charts
& Tables
Contents Open Market
Operations
Federal Reserve
Framework for Monetary
Policy Implementation
EndnotesEmergency
Credit & Liquidity
Facilities