Digital Auto Report 2023
What consumers really want
VOLUME 1
Strategy& 2
Eleventh annual Digital Auto Report,
developed by Strategy& and PwC
Global consumer survey with a focus
on the US, EU and China (n = 3,000)
Quantitative market outlook up to 2035,
based on regional structural analysis
Interviews with industry executives at
OEMs and suppliers, and with leading
academics and industry analysts
Digital Auto Report 2023
Digital Auto Report
2023 Volume 1
Coming up next: Volume 2
Assessing global mobility market
dynamics
Market outlook – penetration of technologies and mobility types
Technology – shifting gears in connected, electric, automated
Regulation – slowdown or acceleration of key policies?
This report: Volume 1
Understanding consumer
preferences and implications
Consumer view – changing mobility preferences
Implications for auto players – interface, subscription and charging
Strategy&
Addressing changing consumer preferences requires auto
players to gear up their user interfaces and business models
Note: Please refer to respective section for detailed assumptions and sources behind stated propositions
Executive summary – Volume 1
Digital Auto Report 2023
3
Our consumer survey (n = 3,000 in Germany, US, China) captures current preferences in auto & mobility and is contrasted with expert opinions
In respect of connected services, consumers first want to get the basics right – the highest priority is safety + navigation, phone mirroring is gaining
importance, on-demand car functions as well; experts rate the importance of infotainment and lifestyle higher than consumers do; willingness to pay
for full set of connected services stands at ~€20 / months in GER and the US, and at ~€40 in China – experts give more conservative estimates
Germans still hesitant about BEV cars – only 35% would consider getting one; more openness in the US ~50%; China very open to BEVs with >90%
Low trust towards L4 automated vehicles in GER and US with 60-70% feeling uncomfortable vs. 15% in China; but on the other hand, Germans who
want to use L4 have a higher willingness to pay to use robo-taxis than to use driver-driven taxis; in the US and China willingness to pay is lower
Purchasing a new/used car preferred; subscription models gain traction; online car purchase scores highest in China (36% vs.10% in Germany)
Consumers intend to use public transport more often than last year, but show similar intentions for own car; less interest in sharing / hailing
1. Consumer
preferences
2. Automotive
implications
Auto players face strategic challenges with regard to connected, electric, automated & smart mobility. Volume 1 focuses on three key aspects:
A Getting the user interface right
As software-defined vehicles open the door to many new markets, OEMs need to be clear in which consumer life areas they want to play, which
experience differentiators to focus on (luxury vs. convenience), and how to build a corresponding service portfolio. Investment decisions should be
based on value creation beyond direct user revenues, with a balanced view on build vs. buddy vs. buy for tech components
B Rethinking vehicle sales
OEMs benefit from a rising demand for car subscriptions - expected to grow from 0.3m to 2-4m units by 2035 in Europe. To reach profitability.
OEMs need to balance consumer needs (model flexibility, transparent pricing) with smart asset lifecycle management for maximum residual value
C Going beyond the vehicle
New business models emerge around batteries and bi-directional charging. With ~5m bi-di cars in Germany by 2035, market potential is €160-
220m for vehicle-to-home / microgrid and €470-550m for vehicle-to-grid solutions assuming successful orchestration of ecosystem players
Strategy&
Contents
2. Implications for auto players interface, subscription and charging
1. Consumer preferences connected, electric, automated and smart
Digital Auto Report 2023
4
Strategy&
Latest consumer attitudes within CASE are reflected in a
survey of 3,000 respondents in Germany, US and China
*Age brackets harmonized; **Low income (<1,6T EUR, <2T USD, <12T YUAN), Rather low income (1,6-3,3T EUR, 2-4T USD, 12-25T YUAN), Medium income
(3,3-6,6T EUR, 4-8T USD, 25-51T YUAN), Rather high income (6,6-8,3T EUR, 8-10T USD, 52-64T YUAN), High income (>8,3T EUR, >10T USD, >64T YUAN)
Overview of consumer survey
Digital Auto Report 2023
5
Consumer – Overview
Key results
n = 1,000
Gender
(%)
n = 1,000 n = 1,000
51
49
Age*
(%)
Household
income**
(%, gross
monthly)
9 743248
Medium incomeLow income Rather low income Rather high income High income
333532
35-5418-34 55+
3
regions
15
questions
3,000
respondents
50
50
44
56
27 3736 184339
24 30 18910 21 31 27138
Employer
type of
experts (%)
211663
OEM Supplier Operator
183844 335314
50
experts
Purchasing a new or used car still preferred option, but car
subscription models are gaining traction
Consumers want to reduce CO
2
mainly through more
walking/cycling, switching to electric car, and using more
public transport
Safety + navigation remain the most important connected
services features – on-demand functions gaining popularity
Willingness to pay at ~20€ per month in Germany and
the US, while at ~40€ in China – experts more cautious
Germans still sceptical about BEV cars – only 35% would
consider getting one, but more openness in the US ~50%
In China, overwhelming preference for BEV with >90%
considering such option – vs. only 80% considering ICE
German / US respondents sceptical about L4
automated cars 60-70% uncomfortable vs. 15% in China
Willingness to pay for robo-taxis vs. driver-driven taxis is
lower in the US and China than in Germany
Strategy&
Safety and navigation remain as most important connected
services features on-demand car functions on the rise
Source: PwC Strategy& consumer research
Safety and navigation still most
important feature for respondents
across all regions.
Significant increase in the number
of participants in Germany who rate
smartphone mirroring as
important
Mirror smart-
phone in car
27%
Navigation
Safety
Infotainment/
Entertainment
Vehicle
management
On-demand
car functions
Lifestyle and
comfort
80%
78%
69%
60%
45%
39%
82%
78%
71%
61%
55%
62%
59%
93%
92%
96%
76%
85%
89%
92%
Question: “Which connected
service categories are
particularly important to you?
Consumer – Connected
2023 2021 2020
Infotainment/entertainment more
important for younger consumers
Digital Auto Report 2023
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Connected services – Share of participants rating feature as important
+
Infotainment/entertainment more
important for younger consumers
Strategy&
Experts rate infotainment higher than consumers do in
China, they underestimate relevance of on-demand functions
Source: PwC Strategy& expert survey
Connected services – Share of experts rating feature as important
Safety, navigation and entertainment
are considered the most important by
experts.
Experts in Germany are rather less
enthusiastic when assessing the
importance of mirroring smart-phones
Experts in China are comparatively less
upbeat when assessing the importance
of on-demand functions and lifestyle &
comfort services.”
94
89
89
31
73
68
63
Vehicle
management
Navigation
Safety
Lifestyle and
comfort
On-demand
car functions
Mirror smart-
phone in car
Infotainment/
Entertainment
-48%
+63%
+130%
69
94
69
69
75
81
75
+35%
+28%
80
93
67
80
87
73
67
-27%
+14%
-25%
Question: “Which connected
service categories are
particularly important to you?
Expert – Connected
2023 – Experts 2023 – Consumer
Digital Auto Report 2023
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Strategy&
Smartphone mirroring to the car has highest rating; Auto OEM
apps for service access are less popular
Source: PwC Strategy& consumer research; Difference to 100%: no/low likelihood
Connected services and media/entertainment in the car
69%
45%
32%
On a screen mirroring
from a smartphone
into the vehicle
Highest preference across all countries
is for smartphone mirroring.
Media/entertainment via an auto OEM
application is less popular.”
Question: “How would you
prefer to enjoy connected
services and media/
entertainment in your car?”
Consumer – Connected
59%
69%
37%
35%
59%
63%
45%
33%
1
st
and 2
nd
rank
On an app
of content provider
installed in your car
On my smartphone
directly
Auto OEM app
accessing content
Digital Auto Report 2023
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Strategy&
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Notes: 1) Calculation of price points based on van-Westendorp-methodology
Source: PwC Strategy& consumer research; Exchange rates: USD/EUR 0.93, YUAN/EUR 0.14 (15.02.2023); PwC Strategy& expert survey research 2023; n=50
Connected services – Median willingness to pay
1)
High spread of willingness to pay in
China indicates strong polarisation of
luxury vs. budget customers
differentiated service packaging needed
Higher optimal price in China indicates
that consumers envision more benefits
from the “perfect connected service
bundle” than in the US/GER – expert
view more conservative on prices.”
Consumer – Connected
…for a full set of connected services in
the vehicle that “perfectly fit your needs
Willingness to pay
1)
(monthly in €)
Question: “At what price would
you consider a full set of relevant
connected services
Too cheap?”
A good value for money?”
Starting to get expensive?”
Too expensive?”
By nationality
X
X
X
Maximum price
Minimum price
Optimal price
Expert estimate
Willingness to pay for connected services around 20€/month
in Germany and the US but twice as much in China (40€)
Digital Auto Report 2023
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Strategy&
Among on-demand functions, automated driving features such
as traffic jam pilot / parking pilot are attracting more interest
Source: PwC Strategy& consumer research
On-demand car functions – Share of participants rating function as important
Consumer – Connected
Automated driving functions
traffic jam pilot or parking pilot –
attract considerably more
interest vs. previous year.
Air condition activation is still
viewed as the most important
on-demand car function.
Question: “How important
would be on-demand car
function [...] to you?”
69%
63%
63%
53%
48%
49%
44%
Traffic jam pilot
Advanced headlight
functions/performance
Air condition
activation
Extension of battery
range (e.g. +80 km)
Seat heating
activation
Parking pilot
Increase of engine
power (e.g. +50 hp)
60%
52%
53%
77%
65%
62%
41% 87%
95%
78%
85%
87%
86%
90%
2023 2021
Digital Auto Report 2023
10
+
Traffic jam pilot more important
for older consumers
Strategy&
Experts in Germany / US attach even more importance than
consumers to automated driving function attractiveness
Source: PwC Strategy& expert survey
On-demand car functions – Share of experts rating function as important
Expert – Connected
Extension of battery range and
traffic jam pilot are considered
the most important functions
among experts
When compared with consumers,
experts are particularly bullish
about on-demand engine power.
Question: “How important
would be on-demand car
function [...] to you?”
84%
74%
58%
89%
84%
95%
100%
Increase of engine
power (e.g. +50 hp)
Air condition
activation
Extension of battery
range (e.g. +80 km)
Advanced headlight
functions/performance
Seat heating
activation
Traffic jam pilot
Parking pilot
+94%
+129%
94%
63%
69%
81%
81%
94%
81%
+81%
+108%
87%
73%
73%
80%
87%
73%
87%
2023 – Experts 2023 Consumer
Digital Auto Report 2023
11
+
Experts in US & China are more
conservative in assessing the
importance of air conditioning
activation
Strategy&
H
2
O
2
+
77%
84%
85%
90%
82%
93%
93%
95%
81%
Source: PwC Strategy& consumer research
Share of participants rating engine types as likely for next purchase (%)
Question: “Assuming you wanted to
buy/lease/subscribe to a passenger
car, how likely are you to consider
the following types of engines?”
Consumer – Electric
53%
87%
89%
52%
79%
57%
51%
41%
42%
44%
Gasoline
BEV
69%
80%
PHEV
73%
44%
39%
35%
35%
35%
18-34yo 55+yo35-54yo
Age bracket
Looking at powertrain preferences, German and US
consumers stick with gasoline, while Chinese prefer BEV
Digital Auto Report 2023
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+
Gasoline engine surprisingly
more attractive for younger
consumers
Gasoline is most popular engine type
in USA and Germany, followed by
PHEV engines, which are slightly more
popular than BEVs.
Chinese consumers exhibit opposite
preferences with BEVs being most
popular, ahead of hybrid and ICE
engines.”
Strategy&
Question: “How comfortable
would you feel using an
autonomous vehicle (Level 4
1)
)”
1) There is still a steering wheel and pedals, but no human action or supervision is required, except in more complex cases such as inclement weather or an unusual environment
2) Can operate fully automatically on any road and under any conditions that a human could negotiate. There is no steering wheel or pedals. All you have to do is specify a destination to the vehicle
Source: PwC Strategy& consumer research
Automated driving – Consumer attitudes
Consumer Automated
Question: “How comfortable
would you feel using a fully
autonomous vehicle (Level 5
2)
)”
50%
43%
24%
19%
11%
17%
23%
38%
9%
16%
47%
4%
100%
Very comfortable
Not comfortable at all
Rather not comfortable
Rather comfortable
66%
53%
18%
18%
13%
10%
17%
30%
6%
12%
51%
100%
6%
Vs.
14% in
2021
Vs.
18% in
2021
Vs.
39% in
2021
In general, willingness to use automated cars has recovered in
comparison with relatively low 2020 figures, which resulted from
negative headlines at the time e.g. following accidents and
cybersecurity threats. Scepticism towards “fully automated”
vehicles (Level 5) still stronger than for Level 4.
Consumer acceptance of automated driving remains low in
Germany and the US more openness in China
Digital Auto Report 2023
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Level 5Level 4
Strategy& Source: PwC Strategy& consumer research
Automated driving – Top 3 preferences for usage of time gained
The intention to use time gained from not driving went down compared to 2021 – the
reduction was significant in Germany and the US. Media & Entertainment as well as
relaxation are still the main intended activities.”
Consumer Automated
41
45
33
52
51
39
Relaxation
and recovery
(e.g. sleep)
Media and
entertainment
(e.g. video
streaming)
Work and
productivity
(e.g. email)
41
40
30
45
55
39
Work and
productivity
(e.g. email)
Media and
entertainment
(e.g. video
streaming)
Relaxation
and recovery
(e.g. sleep)
2022
2021
57
53
49
62
62
57
Relaxation
and recovery
(e.g. sleep)
Media and
entertainment
(e.g. video
streaming)
Social
exchange
(e.g. video-
conferencing)
Question: “For which activities
would you use the time gained
while driving in a fully
autonomous vehicle?”
On an robo-ride, people want to be entertained or relax in
GER / US they also want to work, but in China prefer to socialize
Digital Auto Report 2023
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Strategy&
~60% of US citizens want to pay less for a robo-taxi vs. a driver-
driven taxi; only ~5% want to pay more vs. ~30% in Germany
Source: PwC Strategy& consumer research
Automated driving – Willingness to pay
Question: “When considering an
average taxi ride and its price,
what would be your willingness to
pay for an autonomous ride
compared to this taxi ride?”
Consumer Automated
28%
24%
45%
56%
64%
67%
36%
37%
57%
44%
39%
44%
37%
30%
30%
53%
53%
37%
27%
37%
12%
7%
12%
9%
6%
55+y35-54y18-34y 35-54y18-34y 55+y
3%
18-34y 35-54y
6%
55+y
100%
I’m willing to pay more
I’m willing to pay the same
I’m willing to pay less
Digital Auto Report 2023
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While younger German respondents are willing to pay more for an autonomous ride,
older Germans are less inclined to do so.
.
US and Chinese respondents overwhelmingly intend to pay less for an automated ride
– among those who want to pay less, a 40-50% price cut from driver-driven taxis is the
norm.”
Strategy&
Majority of respondents prefer to purchase a new or used car;
but car subscription models are attracting interest
Source: PwC Strategy& consumer research | Difference to 100%: no/low likelihood
Ranking of buying/leasing/subscribing to a car
70%
87%
47%
33%
27%
Purchase of
a new car
Leasing
of a new car
Purchase of
a used car
Subscription
of a car
The intention to purchase a used car
is growing, especially in Germany and
the US.
Subscription is gaining in popularity
– especially in China. The preference
for subscription increased strongly in
Germany and the US in 2023 (27% vs.
14% in Germany and 19% vs. 15% in
US).”
Question: “How would you rank the
following ways of acquiring a car if
you needed to purchase, lease, or
subscribe to a passenger car in the
next one to two years?”
Consumer – Smart Mobility
76%
78%
31%
19%
19%
82%
29%
56%
7%
43%
1
st
and 2
nd
rank
Leasing of
a used car
Digital Auto Report 2023
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Strategy&
Readiness for online car purchases very high in China, while
rather low in Germany the US falls in between
Source: PwC Strategy& consumer research
Willingness to make car purchases online
Question: “Would you buy your
next car online?
The willingness to buy a car online
varies significantly across countries.
In China, people are particularly open
to completing certain steps or even the
entire buying process online.
In contrast, the majority in Germany
feel more comfortable with store
processes.
2023
41%
10%
37%
12%
I would rather do everything at the store
Yes, I feel comfortable configuring and signing online, but I would prefer to do a test drive at the store
I would configure it online, but sign and test drive it at the store
Yes, I feel comfortable with doing all steps online
18%
2023
32%
27%
22%
2023
36%
15%
19%
31%
Consumer – Smart Mobility
High High HighLowLowLow
Willingness Willingness Willingness
Digital Auto Report 2023
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Strategy&
2021
2023
Even as immediate COVID-19 risks decline, using one’s own
car remains popular; increasing use of shared modes in China
Source: PwC Strategy& consumer research
Mobility pattern after COVID-19 restrictions (%)
Consumer – Smart Mobility
Question: “COVID-19 has temporarily
changed our mobility behavior in many
aspects. How do you plan to use modes
[…] of transport once we have left the
pandemic behind us?”
More Same Less/not at all
Using one’s own car is still seen as
the most convenient means of
transportation – with highest increase in
demand in Germany and the US.
In China, consumers plan to use
shared modes more.
Across all regions, the number of
people planning to use public
transport more has increased.”
2023
2021
2021
2023
2021
2023
2021
2023
2021
2023
2021
2023
Own bike
By foot
Own car
Public
transport
Shared
micro-
mobility
Car-
sharing
Ride-
hailing
Digital Auto Report 2023
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Strategy&
45%
60%
60%
29%
2021
36%
2023
54%
40%
28%
13%
20232021
25%
Source: PwC Strategy& consumer research
Factors encouraging sustainable transportation modes
In Germany, there has been a sharp
increase in the number of consumers
who say that better availability is an
important factor in persuading them to
use sustainable transport.
US respondents focus strongly on
cheaper prices, whereas user-
friendly access is most likely to
encourage respondents to use
sustainable transport in China.”
59%
40%
23%
10%
2021 2023
24%
Family offers
(e.g. 4 bikes for the price of 2, ...)
Cheaper price
Better availability
(e.g. more bikes)
User-friendly access
(e.g. cashless payment via app, ...)
Incentives by the employer
(e.g. job bike, car sharing
benefit package, ...)
Consumer – Smart Mobility
Question: “What would encourage
you to use sustainable transportation
(e.g. bike sharing, car sharing, public
transportation) more frequently?
Price and availability are by far the top drivers for encouraging
consumers to use sustainable transport
Digital Auto Report 2023
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Strategy&
25%
75%
Source: PwC Strategy& consumer research
Top-3 contributions to CO
2
reduction
High willingness to contribute to
CO
2
reduction, especially in China
(98%) – strong increase in the US
(79% vs. 52% last year)
Main contributions will be
completing short-distance
journeys more often on foot / by
bicycle, switching to an
electric car, or using public
transport more frequently.
Question: “What major personal
changes would you like to do to
contribute to a reduction in CO
2
emissions?”
51%
29%
25%
Completely
cut out short-
haul flights
Short distances more
often on foot / by bicycle
Use public
transport more
frequently
Short distances
more often on foot /
by bicycle
43%
24%
37%
Switch to an
electric car
Use public
transport more
frequently
Use public
transport more
frequently
49%
48%
54%
Switch to an
electric car
Short distances
more often on
foot / by bicycle
21%
79%
Do
nothing
Change
behavior
98%
2%
Consumer – Smart Mobility
Every country has different priorities to reduce CO2: In GER
more walking, in the US switch to BEV, in CN public transport
Digital Auto Report 2023
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Strategy&
2. Implications for auto players interface, subscription and charging
1. Consumer preferences connected, electric, automated and smart
Digital Auto Report 2023
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Contents
Strategy&
Digital Auto Report 2023
22
Getting the user interface right
Strategy&
The relevant market for automotive players is expanding
beyond the car itself maintaining user access is crucial
Source: Strategy&, PwC Ecosystemizer
Realiser
Enabler
Mobility demand
Mobility demand is influenced by
long-term economic, political and
social trends as well as generational
changes
The individual user is located at the
center of the ecosystem approach
(business to human)
Consumer needs can be grouped
into ten distinct Life Areas
Within these Life Areas,
ecosystems emerge in the form of
business-to-business and business-
to-consumer relationships around
specific customer needs
Mobility solutions
Human needs in mobility Life Areas
determine customer requirements
Successful mobility ecosystem
players are clear on four key topics:
Digital portfolio scope
E.g. life area coverage, niche positioning, …
Experience differentiators
E.g. luxury, convenience, …
Value chain integration
E.g. vertical/horizontal integration, partnering,
Value levers
E.g. top-line, bottom-line optimization, …
Digital Auto Report 2023
23
Redefining business models to meet human-centric mobility needs
Recreation
Orchestrator
E.g.
Aggregator
E.g.
OEM
E.g.
Supplier
Strategy&
Getting the digital interface right means creating a
differentiated experience for diverse customer needs
Source: Strategy& analysis
Experience differentiators – Examples
At your fingertips
FINN manages to provide customers with their
vehicle of choice around seven days after booking
7
Hassle-free service
Genesis picks up and returns the
car for aftersales services at a place
of choice, managed through a
personal assistant
Seamlessly integrated offerings
Uber integrates multi-modal mobility options
with related services such as food delivery,
health or transit on one platform
Full flexibility
Sixt offers various vehicle ownership models (renting,
subscription, sharing) with flexible run times and payment
schemes in one app
Proactive offerings
BMW 7 Series actively welcomes
riders into the car by extending a
carpet made of light
Trading scarcity
Lamborghini has created only 5 digital NFT’s based on physical keys
made from carbon fiber from the international space station
Differentiated
experience:
Luxury
Differentiated
experience:
Convenience
Digital Auto Report 2023
24
Efficient interactions
Mercedes me app lets users manage their vehicles on the go,
from scheduling service, to making payments, to getting
assistance at the push of a button
Bespoke services
Bentley allows their buyers to customize every
part of the car, including paint, finishes,
materials and even light-projected logos
Digital opulence
Rolls Royce cements the credentials of its bold new brand identity
for its website with mood videos similar to perfume ads
Crafted touchpoint
NIO broadens their services with the EP House,
a space where owners can come together and
celebrate the brand
Strategy&
A value-creating digital service portfolio requires automotive
players to balance multiple trade-offs
Source: Strategy& analysis
Digital portfolio scope – Examples
Vehicle
Function
-as-a-Service
Consumer
onboard
services
Consumer
offboard
services
B2B/data
services
Portfolio Trade-offs
Differentiation vs.
revenue potential
Reach vs.
profitability
Synergy focus
vs. risk hedging
Touchpoint control
vs. open partners
Digital first vs. BEV/
AD availability
Mobility Entertainment Work Health
Sound
– BMW e-engine sound pack
Autonomous driving
– Tesla autopilot upgrade
Light
– BMW high beam assist
Camera
– Tesla sentry mode
Access
– Tesla virtual bluetooth keys
Parking search and pay
– VW we park
P2P car/ride sharing
– Sono motors app
Fleet mgmt./diagnostics
– Daimler connect business
Car data marketplace
– Caruso, Otonomo, High M.
Car data based insurance
– BMW CarData
Driver’s log/GPS tracking
– Daimler connect business
Predictive maintenance
– BOSCH, Carmen
Intelligent car assistant
– Alibaba, Volvo/Daimler
Gaming
– Tesla arcade, Racing
Entertainment
– Tesla caraoke
Advanced navigation
– MB live traffic
Music streaming
– BMW Spotify, NIO Radio
Passenger safety
– NIO fatigue warning
Smart Office Connection
– BMW IFTTT
Last Mile Logistics
– NIO delivery in trunk
Emergency assistant
– GM OnStar guardian
Plug and charge
– VW/Ionity
Mood-based lightening
– Mercedes-Benz ambient
In-car Office
– Mercedes me connect
Meditation
– Porsche Feel-Good-Coach
NFT Collections
– Roll Royce Phantom
AI Avatar
– Fetch.ai autonomous agents
Crypto Car Wallet
– Various pilots
In-car AR gaming
– Audi/holoride partnership
Roadside assistant support
– Urgently/Otonomo
Automated park and charge
– Bosch Autom. Valet Parking
Safer traffic planning
– Mercedes Data/London
Web3 Loyalty Program
– BMW/Coinweb
Digital Auto Report 2023
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Strategy&
30-40% additional revenue
potential based on customer insights
30-40% of incidents can partly/fully
be prevented by OTA
20-30% cost reduction potential
through variant reduction
20-30% inventory decrease due to
demand forecasting
50-60% of companies indicate that
they do sell data to third parties
30-40% switch to paid subscription
after free trial
45-55% are more loyal to brands
to which they have a subscription
35-50% are interested in post-
purchase activations
60-70% are willing to pay 180$/year
for connectivity service set
Along the value chain and vehicle life cycle, digital services
unlock value beyond direct user monetization
Value levers of digital services – Examples
Implications
Bottom-line:
OpEx/CapEx
Optimization
Top-line:
Direct
revenue and
customer
lifetime value
Services
monetization
Brand
loyalty
Post-purchase
activations
Platform access/
data sales
Connected services activation fees and/or recurring revenues
related to monthly subscriptions
Higher satisfaction with on-board experience and creation of
‘stickiness’ through subscription services
Upselling effect during the ownership cycle by unlocking
personalization features or activating built-in hardware
Direct revenues from granting third parties access to own
platform or monetizing (anonymized) data/insights
Leverage of real time data on customer preferences/behaviors
for timely adjustment of vehicle specifications and features
Reduction of the number of model-specific variants by
activating on-demand vehicle features
Optimized inventory management through advanced planning
of upcoming repairs enabled by predictive maintenance
After-sales
Loyalty
Higher revenues for dealers from original parts sale and
workshops traffic triggered by predictive maintenance
R&D optimization
Recall campaigns
Variant
management
Parts inventory
management
Prevention of recall campaigns by leveraging OTA updates to
fix potential technical issues within the circulating fleet
Source: Strategy& analysis + expert discussion
Digital Auto Report 2023
26
Ecosystem business cases
should extend beyond
vehicle-centric business
cases
Direct and indirect
revenue potential, and
opportunities beyond
vehicle offerings, should
be considered along the
customer life cycle
B2B offerings offer
significant direct
monetization potential
In addition to external
opportunities, a significant
amount of internal
opportunities exist, e.g.
to increase efficiency in
processes & portfolio
Strategy&
I II III IV V
OEMs are forced to partner with technology players to deliver
compelling digital services risking a loss of control
Source: Strategy& analysis
Value chain integration – Range of partnership options
No tech player
involvement
Operating system and all
applications are developed
by the OEM
Full control for OEM, no
standardization, slower
development, reduced offering
compared to market leaders
Operating system
supply
Standardized tech stack is
provided by supplier,
e.g. Android Automotive OS
Faster development, easier
integration of external applications
(e.g. Spotify), standardized setting
cannot be adjusted by OEM
Content
mirroring
Apple/Google content is
displayed by using apps within
the vehicle, e.g. Android Auto
Common mobile apps (e.g.
Google Maps) are immediately
available in-vehicle; less use of
OEM native apps / content
Tech player
involvement
OEM
Control
Next ?
A winning digital experience requires customer proximity, tech capabilities and effective data governance
Digital Auto Report 2023
27
Tech player content
using vehicle data
Usage of car data to enrich 3
rd
party in-
vehicle apps, e.g. for usage based
insurance or location based commerce
Compelling user experience on par
with mobile app UX, but OEM apps
loose advantage of specific driver /
vehicle insights
External development
of the digital experience
Entire automotive software
is developed by tech
supplier
Data governance between
involved stakeholders crucial to
avoid downgrading of OEM to
pure hardware provisioning
Strategy&
Digital Auto Report 2023
28
Rethinking vehicle sales
Strategy&
Duration (average figures for Germany)
Included
services
Relative price per month
Leasing
2
years
5-9
years
2)
Ø
3 years
1)
Low, due to fewer services and
longer duration
trend
1
month
2-6
years
Subscription
Ø
1 year
1)
High, due to high convenience
Rental
1
day
1
year
High, due to high amount of
included mileage
Ø
7 days
1)
Sharing
10
min.
1
week
Ø
30 min
1)
Highest, due to highest convenience
and most services included
trend
Exact model selection/some configuration
~
🗶
Ø
Up-front down payment
🗶
Insurance, tax and registration
🗶
Flexible cancellation
~
🗶
Delivery and collection
~
🗶
Switching models
~
🗶
Residual value coverage
🗶
Additional driver allowed
~~
Risk-dependent fee (driver history)
🗶
~
Scheduled service, repairs/wear and tear
🗶
Fully digitized customer journey
🗶
/ ~ / 🗶 = Usually included / Depends on provider / Usually not included
Subscription fills the gap between leasing and rental offerings
resulting overall in four major vehicle ownership archetypes
1) Based Strategy& analysis; 2) Depending on specific regulatory environment allowing “prolonged lease”
Source: Strategy& analysis
Vehicle ownership archetypes
Digital Auto Report 2023
29
Strategy&
2. Lifecycle: Used car leasing (different customer(s))
As alternative ownership models such as subscription emerge,
OEMs need to sharpen their vehicle lifecycle mgmt. skills
Subscription customer and asset journey – Example
4. Used car leasing
Customer journeyVehicle journey
0 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 9
Car handover
Scheduled
maintenance
Subscription
model suggested
to customer
For their vacation,
the customer
temporarily adds
a second driver
Customer
occasionally
uses car sharing
Car enters used
leasing contract with
a new customer
Scheduled
maintenance
Repairs
following
accident
Scheduled
maintenance
After the
lease, the car
is returned
Year
Refurbish battery and
ADAS in preparation
for next lifecycle
Interior
refurbish
1. New car leasing
2. Subscription 3. New subscription 5. Car sharing and rental
Maintenance
and minor fixes
Family plans:
subscription
renewal with
bigger car
Due to increased price
consciousness, customer
decides to lease a used car
Move into city: end of lease
and switch to sporadic
sharing and rental cars
Customer signs contract
to lease new car
New car is
in-fleeted
In the last lifecycle,
the car moves into
the sharing fleet
At the end of its
useful life, the car is
recycled or sold B2B
After the lease,
the car is returned
Car rental
during vacation
Residual value
optimal: customer
offered to trade
cars
Customer
increases
the annual
km
6
Scheduled
maintenance
1. Lifecycle: New car leasing 3. Lifecycle: Car sharing (different customers)
Source: Strategy& analysis
Digital Auto Report 2023
30
Strategy&
Suitable ownership models
Holistic vehicle lifecycle management aims to increase revenue
and utilization, especially during 2
nd
and 3
rd
phase
Subscription “3x3” asset lifecycle
1
st
Lifecycle phase (years 1-3) 2
nd
Lifecycle phase (years 4-6) 3
rd
Lifecycle phase (years 7-9)
Residual value
Revenue and
utilization potential
Maintenance and
refurbishment
1)
In accordance with residual value
Additional revenue from e.g.,
contract extras or repair charges
Asset potential
Regular maintenance costs
Sporadic refurbishment costs
Potential repair costs
Depending on vehicle utilization
in respective ownership model
Contract add-on
Recycle
🗶
🗶
Leasing
Subscription
Rental
Car sharing
2)
3)
()
Repurpose vehicle Refurbish vehicle Maintain/repair vehicle Recycle componentsAdd contract extras
Sequence of ownership models
as well as external market
conditions have influence on
most suitable selection for each
lifecycle phase
For certain ownership models,
assets that are viewed as too old
may not be favored
The younger the asset, the
shorter the duration - especially if
utilization is high
1) Annual OEM-prescribed maintenance/service intervals and use-based repairs – sporadic refurbishment;
2) Depending on specific regulatory environment allowing “prolonged lease”; 3) As low-budget option
Source: Strategy& analysis
Digital Auto Report 2023
31
Strategy&
Alternative ownership models are on the rise and offer profit
potential for OEMs if the asset life cycle is managed well
1) Estimate of share development for ownership model depends on shares of competing models; LCP: Life cycle phase;
2) Profitability estimate based on individual consideration of ownership model for average middle class passenger EV (price 53.5k EUR)
Source: Strategy& analysis
Vehicle ownership model split and profitability – Indicative
Sharing
42%
100%
10%
Leasing
2%
Subscription
Purchase
45%
Rental
1%
6.0
5.6
0.3
1.4
0.2 13.4
Ownership model split 2023 [m units]
Region Europe,
40 countries
Profitability of ownership models
2)
Ownership
models
Traditional car ownership Alternative ownership
Purchase Leasing Subscription Rental Sharing
LCP 1
year 1-3
LCP 2
year 4-6
LCP 3
year 7-9
7%
9%
11%
-115%
83%
76%
-91%
78%
71%
10-15%
<5%
<5%
<5%
Total 5-7% 10-15% 10-15% 10-15% <5%
Subscription
has potential to grow
to 2-4m units
by 2035 in Europe
1)
Leasing
has potential to grow
to 7-8m units
by 2035 in Europe
1)
Digital Auto Report 2023
32
Overall profitability potential higher for leasing, subscription and rental
than for purchase
Profitability across LCPs varies from relatively constant to a sharp
increase. With rental, there is only one LCP.
It is not individual consideration but a merged portfolio view that is crucial
for OEMs
Strategy&
More flexible ownership models offer benefits and risks for
OEMs and customers a win-win solution is required
Vehicle subscription benefit and risk perspective
Alternative ownership models
need to create a win-win
situation for customers and
OEMs
Currently, they mostly play
into the strategic agenda of
OEMs
Strong customer centricity
and efficient asset
management of used cars
are needed to reach
profitability
OEMs may leverage their
existing retail network and
preferential vehicle
acquisition conditions to
differentiate themselves from
start-up competitors
Product piloting and learning from data
insights into longer-term car usage
Keeping track of battery lifecycle/recycling
requirements according to regulations
Customers willingness to pay and price
pressure for alt. ownership offering
OEM
Customer
Flexibility of car ownership in case of
changing life circumstance
Residual value and admin process
(insurance, maintenance, etc.) peace of mind
Residual value risk at end of lifetime and
need for strong operational excellence
Source: Strategy& analysis
Digital Auto Report 2023
33
Key takeaways
Opaque pricing and difficulty of
comparing offerings
Perception of ownership is absent
Strategy&
Digital Auto Report 2023
34
Going beyond the vehicle
Strategy&
Rise of e-mobility provides ample opportunities to capture
value beyond the vehicle e.g. with batteries and charging
Source: Strategy& analysis
Value pools beyond the vehicle – Focus e-mobility
Digital Auto Report 2023
35
Battery value chain
Charging value chain
Adjacent ecosystem services
eMSP
1)
Last mile
services
Location-
based
commerce
Fleet mgmt.
services
Onboard
entertainment
Charge point
operation
Energy
provisioning
Site and asset
ownership
Charging
equipment
manufacturing
Energy system
integration
Bi-directional
Charging
Battery
exchange
Car/battery usage
Battery
production
Battery in
car assembly
Battery
recycling
Battery
second life
Installation
and
maintenance
Strategy&
Infrastructure and vehicle penetration are key requirements
for successful realization of bi-directional charging use cases
Bi-directional charging – Market simulation Germany
Parking
Home and
apartment
buildings
Charging
hubs
1.8m
0.16m 0.03m
0.7m
Bi-directional sockets by 2030 Bi-directional charging-capable vehicle fleet (#)
Office
Private
2.5m
Public
0.19m
Total 2030: 2.7 million bi-directional sockets Total 2030: ~5 million bi-directional vehicles
Bi-directional charging capable vehicle fleet in Germany
(as share of total EV fleet)
Source: PwC Strategy& Study (2022): “Der E-Mobility-Check: Wie bereit ist Deutschland?”; Strategy& analysis
Digital Auto Report 2023
36
2028
2023
2026
2024
2025
2031
2027
2032
2029
2030
2033
2034
2035
36%
11%
6%
15%
29%
22%
54%
42%
48%
58%
61%
62%
63%
Strategy&
Enablers & Limitations
Front-of-meter prosumer use cases depend on a multitude of
external factors that limit mainstream adoption in short term
V2L: Vehicle-to-load (e.g. e-bike, another EV, etc.) V2H/B: Vehicle-to-home / building V2G/VGI: Vehicle-to-grid / vehicle-grid-integration PV: Photovoltaic
1) Includes software for grid optimization of households (V2H) and public charge point operators only; 2) Includes software for power market trading for households and public charge point operators only
Source: Strategy& analysis
Prosumer charging business model comparison – Germany
Power market trading
Load shiftingSelf-supply optimization
V2H/B
V2G / VGI
V2L
Mid-term: EV user demand driven by incentive to earn/save
money, but depending on available solutions & attractive pricing
Short-term: Growing EV user demand to use vehicle e.g. as
additional storage for home PV or emergency power bank (in the US)
Customer
Demand
Need for penetration of bi-directional capable vehicles and infrastructure (i.e. EV charger) to reach “critical mass”
Need for development of standard protocols (interconnection, communication, vehicle and charging station safety & functionality)
Energy
Tech
Fully supportive regulation not expected before 2028 at EU
level due to high stakeholder complexity (smart meter as reference)
Fully supportive behind-the-meter regulation expected by
2024 due to limited complexity of “closed” micro-ecosystem
Regulation
Need for flexible V2G tariffs: Time-of-Use or Time-of-Day pricing
Minimum number of kwh must be available at a certain point in
time for utility providers to rely upon when managing the grid
Tech cost reduction (vehicle / infrastructure) required for scale up
Availability of comprehensive ancillary services as important enabler
Economics
Use Cases
Application Area
Enabler Revenues
Potential for software enablers: 160-220m
1)
in 2030
While front of meter still requires more regulatory alignment at European level, behind the meter already has a high market readiness in the short term
Potential for software enablers: €470-550m
2)
in 2030
Digital Auto Report 2023
37
Behind the meter Front of meter
Consumption optimization
Strategy&
Bi-directional
energy provision
Charge and
discharge
Connect
to charger
Realization and scale-up of prosumer use cases require
efficient charging and battery stakeholder coordination
Source: Strategy& analysis
Digital Auto Report 2023
38
Services
White label
Software
Charging
data
Charging data
Integration
Charging
data
Services
EV data
Charging
data
Charging
data
EV/Battery
Service provider
Software supplier
Battery
manufacturer
Vehicle
manufacturer
Parking
provider
Utility
sector
CPO
End user
V2H
Main scale-up challenges
Stakeholder fear of losing control
points to a central, dominant player
(e.g. OEMs see USP in unique
charging experience)
Enabling ecosystem partnersCharging stakeholders
Charging & battery ecosystem stakeholder activation
Can a decentralized coordination
approach help to solve these challenges?
Relatively high transactions costs
for clearing and billing (given
comparatively low value of single
transactions)
Different interests and priorities
across parties (e.g. CPOs want to
maximize utilization, whereas OEMs
want to maximize charging availability)
Data
exchange
Strategy&
Implication for automotive players: Holistic ecosystem
approach beyond core business is key to future success
Source: Strategy&, PwC Ecosystemizer
Be clear about own ecosystem role – whether orchestrator, realizer or enabler
Build offering portfolio and allocate resources accordingly
Maintain a holistic and iterative approach in the selection of suitable offerings
Actively manage the portfolio and prioritize clearly according to a coherent,
consistent and multi-layered ecosystem logic
On the one hand…
Ecosystems can create lock-in effects
based on differentiated offerings
Customer lifetime value can be
increased through holistic journey
coverage
Faster growth and higher earning
potential can be achieved when
compared with traditional approaches
to value creation
On the other hand…
Building & managing ecosystems is
complex
Theoretically, unlimited number of
potential offerings complicates the
selection process
Product-centric view carries risk of
missing market/customer needs
(particularly for more advanced
topics)
Success factors
Ecosystems…
Digital Auto Report 2023
39
Recreation
New Work
Personalized
pleasure
Holistic
wellbeing
Smart
environ-
ment
Rest and
relaxation
Believe and
mindfulness
Relation-
ships
Green and
seamless
mobility
Customized
and fast
demand
fulfillment
Personal
wealth and
legal
Strategy&
Network contacts
Digital Auto Report 2023
40
Jörg Krings
joerg.krings@
strategyand.de.pwc.com
Automotive Europe
Dr. Jörn Neuhausen
joern.neuhausen@
strategyand.de.pwc.com
Alternative Powertrains
Jonas Seyfferth
jonas.seyfferth@
strategyand.de.pwc.com
Connected and Smart Mobility
Contributors
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global team of practical strategists that is integrated within the PwC network of firms. For more about Strategy&, see www.strategyand.pwc.com. No reproduction is permitted in whole or part without written permission of PwC.
Disclaimer: This content is for general purposes only, and should not be used as a substitute for consultation with professional advisors.
Dr. Andreas Gissler
andreas.gissler@
strategyand.de.pwc.com
Digital Transformation
Kentaro Abe
kentaro.abe@
pwc.com
Automotive Japan
Akshay Singh
akshay.singh@
pwc.com
Automotive US
Steven Jiang
steven.jiang@
strategyand.cn.pwc.com
Automotive China
Steven van Arsdale
Sebastian Hauk
Carl Heselschwerdt
Tobias Karl
Tobias Killmeier
Tobias Seemann
Patrick Schwenke
Malien Zehnpfenning
Milos Bartosek
milos.bartosek@
pwc.com
Infrastructure Deals
Thilo Bühnen
thilo.buehnen@
pwc.ch
Mobility Venturing
Hartmut Güthner
hartmut.guethner@
strategyand.de.pwc.com
Automated Driving