NATIONAL CENTER FOR CASE STUDY TEACHING IN SCIENCE
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“e Polar Bear of the Salt Marsh?” by Lawrence and Field
Part II – Rising Sea Levels
Since it was low tide, Katie decided to tromp through the marsh to the Barn Island Wildlife Management Area
headquarters to see if she could talk with somebody who might have more information. Dierent salt marsh plants
can tolerate dierent amounts of ooding and salt concentrations. is variation in physical stress tolerance leads to
vegetation zones or bands, each dominated by dierent grass-like plants. Katie traversed the band of vegetation closest
to the ocean where cordgrass (Spartina alterniora) exclusively dominates the daily ooded low-marsh elevations. In
southern New England salt marshes, marsh hay (Spartina patens) dominates the intermediately ooded band, and
black rush (Juncus gerardii) occupies the higher, drier, and less salty marsh elevations. Marsh hay and black rush are
excluded from the low marsh by low soil oxygen levels and high salt concentrations. Cordgrass has the ability to oxy-
genate its root zone and has physiological adaptations to deal with high salinity, allowing it to tolerate the frequently
ooded and salty low-marsh zone.
After a hot slog through the marsh, Katie was relieved to arrive at the Barn Island headquarters and see Chris Smith, a
natural resource manager for the Connecticut Department of Energy and Environmental Protection (DEEP). Katie
blurted out, “Chris, I found another drowned nest of saltmarsh sparrows this afternoon. at’s the fth one this
season! Have you heard reports from other people like this?”
Chris laughed, “Hi Katie, nice to see you too.” In a more serious tone, he added, “Actually, I’ve had several birders
report nest drownings this breeding season, and it seems like more and more are documented each year.” Chris was
thoughtful for a moment and then pulled out a recent issue of a preeminent scientic journal and said, “Check out
this article. Maybe there’s something in here.”
“Wow, I didn’t know global mean sea-level has risen 14–22cm in the last century. at’s crazy!” exclaimed Katie as
she skimmed the article. “Actually, their models suggest that about 70% of sea-level rise since 1970 is attributable to
human activities, especially greenhouse gas emissions.”
Chris responds, “So sea levels are rising, but I’m unclear how…”
As Katie continued reading the article she responded, “e two biggest contributors to sea-level rise are thermal expan-
sion of the oceans—as water warms, it takes up more volume—and glacier mass loss. Basically, the earth is warming
up due to our use of fossil fuels and causing water to expand and ice to melt.” Katie continued, “But what’s going on
in Connecticut? Is that what’s drowning all these saltmarsh sparrow nests?”
Questions
2. What kind of information, either biotic or abiotic, could Katie and Chris use to determine whether sea-level rise
is occurring in salt marshes in Connecticut?
3. Sea-level rise of 14–22 cm over 100 years may not seem like much (1.4–2.2mm per year), but consider how the
slope of the land determines how much will be inundated. Will steeply or gently sloped areas be more impacted?
Try sketching the two situations.
4. Make a diagram showing the three dominant vegetation zones of the salt marsh, indicating relative elevation and
distance to the ocean. Based on salt and ooding tolerance thresholds of the dominant plant species, predict how
plants will shift in response to sea-level rise; show this on your diagram.